Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TON11419 prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 2.199899 2.528671 2.893404 3.328658 3.834762 4.405678 5.099917
2025-05-11 1.683605 2.116229 2.643930 3.337753 4.230134 5.344852 6.851530
2025-05-18 1.404565 1.874314 2.485044 3.342768 4.525189 6.110701 8.419350
2025-05-25 1.180521 1.651955 2.296846 3.251847 4.644459 6.623106 9.686598
2025-06-01 1.054873 1.538536 2.230249 3.303564 4.948674 7.410084 11.437596
2025-06-08 0.961302 1.454704 2.188935 3.377044 5.281991 8.269347 13.411342
2025-06-15 0.869572 1.359822 2.115711 3.385856 5.506880 8.978178 15.236350
2025-06-22 0.775842 1.249371 2.003053 3.313202 5.583027 9.444882 16.708425
2025-06-29 0.702108 1.161940 1.915850 3.268755 5.695277 9.978153 18.364890
2025-07-06 0.634547 1.076902 1.822294 3.199973 5.751967 10.413736 19.895197
2025-07-13 0.614100 1.069764 1.859750 3.365515 6.250702 11.715177 23.284250
2025-07-20 0.571461 1.018768 1.814105 3.372249 6.449502 12.470200 25.687336
2025-07-27 0.540114 0.990149 1.815181 3.486330 6.910920 13.883477 29.889788
2025-08-03 0.496631 0.935276 1.763542 3.496467 7.177868 14.971690 33.669349
2025-08-10 0.458196 0.885030 1.713772 3.501712 7.432388 16.070352 37.690197
2025-08-17 0.413818 0.817763 1.622046 3.406160 7.452682 16.653863 40.598389
2025-08-24 0.389344 0.787717 1.601799 3.460510 7.815401 18.077517 45.900013
2025-08-31 0.369331 0.764495 1.592708 3.537737 8.242371 19.725284 52.147353
2025-09-07 0.345485 0.730383 1.556187 3.546998 8.507538 21.020188 57.725957
2025-09-14 0.317369 0.683908 1.487231 3.470639 8.548909 21.751805 61.873528
2025-09-21 0.294268 0.646128 1.433546 3.423928 8.658746 22.682913 66.825412
2025-09-28 0.271659 0.607114 1.372756 3.351647 8.690686 23.408777 71.322006
2025-10-05 0.266827 0.608722 1.407234 3.525619 9.415044 26.207596 83.102556